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Near Term Fundamentals Still Appear Positive for India’s Cotton CakeCotton cake ended the week on a positive note. The market was supported from limiting inventory in domestic markets and perceptions in context to stable export demand and lower ending stock estimates.Strength in the commodity was also due to reduction in the exchange warehouse stocks in the last few weeks. But the upside was capped because of weakening prices of cotton towards the end of the week. Week on week September cotton cake at NCDEX was marginally down by Rs.21 and the September contract of Cotton cake was seen trading between 3040 and 3200 for the week ending August 22. In Akola market, cotton cake was traded between Rs.3130-3175/qtl and in Kadi the traded offers stood between Rs.3075-3175/qtl.The broader view remains bullish considering the limited inventory of cotton seed in the country, in addition to brighter prospects for cotton exports, once the new season supply sets in. In physical markets traders and stockists are ready to buy at current offers since they are expecting another gain of Rs 200-250 per quintal in the physical markets by next month. As understood from the near term charts we expect September cotton cake to trade with an upward bias unless it closes below 3050 for at least two consecutive sessions. In case the contract gives comfortable closing above 3050, then chances for 3300-3350 shall increase in near future.The Indian Finance Ministry has recently rejected the appeal from a segment of the industry to remove the 10 percent import duty on cotton. Imports of cotton have significantly gone up in the last few years, even though India is the largest producer of cotton in the world. This factor shall continue supporting the cotton market in coming weeks. As a result cotton cake prices shall tend to maintain the upward trend. The rainfall distribution shall govern the sowing area outlook in coming weeks. As of now the rains are favorable for the sowing in Maharashtra but there are concerns in Gujarat where the rains need to improve now. The states of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh contribute nearly about 80 per cent of the area under cotton.CAI reduces cotton crop estimate: The Cotton Association of India (CAI) in its latest estimate has reduced its cotton crop forecast to 354.50 lakh bales, lower by 1.50 lakh bales in its July estimate for 2020-21, compared to last month, after lower production in Gujarat and Telangana. The total cotton production in 2019-2020 was around 360 lakh bales.  Domestic consumption for 2020 – 21 i.e. October 2020 to September 30, 2021 is estimated to be higher by 5 lakh bales considering the high demand for cotton yarn. The CAI has also increased the exports estimates for the season to 77 lakh bales from its previous estimate of 72 lakh. This export estimate is higher by 27 lakh bales from 50 lakh bales in the previous year. The carryover stock at the end of the season i.e on September 30, 2021 is now estimated at 82.50 lakh. For India the USDA expects cotton production for this season at 29.0 million bales, 700,000 bales (2.5 percent) above 2020/21 as an improvement in yield more than offsets a slight decrease in area. For 2021/22, India’s area is forecast at 12.9 million hectares, and the projected yield at 489 kg per hectare, which is above the 3-year average. 

Palm snaps two-day climbMalaysian palm oil futures eased on Tuesday, ending two straight sessions of gains on slow export shipments and industry estimates of an increase in August output. The benchmark palm oil contract for November delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed down 16 ringgit, or 0.37%, to 4,300 ringgit ($1,017.27) a tonne. Prices came off on long liquidation as Dalian prices rose sharply on Monday, a Kuala Lumpur-based trader said."Higher production expectations for August also weighed on (the market) and more selling could emerge if exports don't recover," the trader said.The Southern Peninsula Palm Oil Millers' Association forecast an 11.5% month-on-month rise in Aug. 1-20 production, traders said on Monday./Malaysia's exports during Aug. 1-20 fell 9.9% from the same period in July, cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance said on Monday.Investors are expecting August 1-25 shipments, which are expected to be announced on Wednesday, to remain low.The ringgit, palm's currency of trade, fell 0.07% against the dollar, making the commodity cheaper for holders of foreign currency. Dalian's most-active soyoil contract rose 1.2%, while its palm oil contract gained 1.9%. Soyoil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade were up 0.9%.Palm oil is affected by price movements in related oils as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oils market.Refinitiv Agriculture Research said in a note on Monday that the contract might rise towards resistance at 4,360-4,380 ringgit a tonne this week, with support at 4,050-4,070 ringgit a tonne, rebounding from last week's sharp loss on bargain-buying.

Soyabeans rally as crop conditions drop, soyaoil prices riseCHICAGO: US soyabean futures rallied on Tuesday on eroding Midwest crop conditions and improving export demand, and as soyaoil prices rose another 3% amid further gains in crude oil markets.Corn futures also climbed on deteriorating crop conditions across the heart of the farm belt. Wheat prices firmed on spillover support from rising corn and soya, though gains were limited by a firm US dollar.Soybeans posted their strongest percentage gains in nearly two months on Tuesday after the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) reported a weekly decline in crop conditions and as severely hot weather was forecast for the heart of the Midwest crop belt.Demand for soya, meanwhile, was also improving. The USDA confirmed a private sale of US soyabeans to China in its first daily sales announcement since reporting a string of purchases by the top importer earlier this month."We're starting to sell beans to China again so all of a sudden our demand profile is picking up a bit," said Jack Scoville, analyst with the Price Group."The crop condition ratings yesterday showed a deterioration and ideas are that, with the weather developing how it is, we could see more," he said.Corn crop conditions dropped by more than expected in the past week, particularly in the eastern Midwest. The steepest drop was in Illinois, where the heat index was expected to climb above 100 Fahrenheit (37.8 Celsius) on Tuesday and Wednesday.Chicago Board of Trade November soyabeans jumped 42-1/2 cents to $13.35-1/4 a bushel by 12:10 p.m. CDT (1710 GMT), the contract's strongest percentage gain since June 30. December corn rose 9-1/2 cents to $5.45 a bushel, while CBOT December wheat added 1/4 cent to $7.33-3/4 a bushel.  RegardsTeam SisAny query plz call 9111977771https://wa.me/919111677774

Weakness in rupee, 1 paise breaks open at 74.20Rupee has started with weakness today. Rupee has opened weak by 1 paise against the dollar today. Rupee opened today at 74.20 against dollar. On the other hand, the rupee got stronger against the dollar in Tuesday's trade. The rupee yesterday closed at 74.19 with a gain of 2 paise against the dollar.Sensex opened at record level with a gain of 104 pointsToday the stock market opened with a record high. Today the BSE Sensex rose by about 104.49 points to open at a record level of 56063.47 points. On the other hand, the Nifty of NSE opened with a gain of 33.40 points at a record level of 16658.00 points.

Rupee strengthens by 2 paise and closed at 74.19 levelRupee has seen strength today against the dollar. Rupee today closed at 74.19 with a gain of 2 paise against the dollar.Sensex rises further, closes by increasing 403 pointsToday the stock market closed sharply. Today, where the Sensex closed at the level of 55958.98 points, up by about 403.19 points. At the same time, the Nifty closed at the level of 16624.60 with a gain of 128.10 points.

CHICAGO: US soybean futures firmed on Monday in a modest recovery from last week’s two-month low as crude oil markets rebounded and lifted soyoil prices more than 3%, traders said.Wheat also gained as the US dollar softened and as weekly export inspections topped trade expectations.Corn was flat to weaker, capped by forecasts for a large US crop and worries over demand from biofuel producers after news last week that the Environmental Protection Agency would recommend reducing federal biofuel blending mandates.Grain and oilseed futures had fallen sharply last week as worries about global economic growth and rising coronavirus infections pressured broader markets. Crude oil and metals prices rose on Monday after bargain hunting drove equity markets higher across Asia and Europe.“The macros are taking the foot off the throat of commodities today, except for corn. Traders are still very nervous about the biofuel RINs and what kind of exclusions will be given to refiners,” said Mike Zuzolo, president of Global Commodity Analytics.Chicago Board of Trade December corn fell 2 cents to a one-month low of $5.35 a bushel by 11:32 a.m. CDT (1632 GMT). November soybeans gained 4-1/4 cents at $12.95 a bushel.CBOT September wheat rose 7-1/2 cents to $7.21-3/4 a bushel. The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) said on Monday 657,854 tonnes of US wheat were inspected for export last week, higher than expected. Corn and soybean inspections were in line with trade forecasts. 

Palm oil ends over 1pc higherKUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian palm oil futures reversed early losses on Monday, tracking sharp gains in rival oils and crude futures, but expectations of a buildup in August stockpile capped gains.The benchmark palm oil contract for November delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed 58 ringgit, or 1.36%, at 4,323 ringgit ($1,023.44) a tonne, after declining 2.4% earlier in the day.Prices recovered on fresh fears about rising COVID-19 cases spreading from some estates to mills, said Paramalingam Supramaniam, director at Selangor-based brokerage Pelindung Bestari.Sentiment were hit by the Southern Peninsula Palm Oil Millers’ Association’s estimates for production during Aug. 1-20 to rise 11.5% month-on-month, traders said.“We expect an increase in production and decrease in exports, resulting in the addition of inventories at the end of August,” said Anilkumar Bagani, research head of Mumbai-based vegetable oils broker Sunvin Group.Cargo surveyors last week said palm oil shipments during Aug. 1-20 fell between 8.7% and 11.5% from the month before.India, the world’s biggest vegetable oil importer, on Friday cut base import taxes on crude and refined soyoil and sunflower oil to 7.5% from 15% until Sept. 30.This puts soft oil imports at parity with those of palm oil and may cap a recovery in palm oil prices, traders and analysts said.India may restore higher duty structure for palm and soft oils after Sept. 30, hence exporters will seek to ship to India as much as possible before the deadline, Bagani said.Oil prices jumped 3% with gains driven by a weaker dollar despite demand concerns stoked by rising cases of the Delta coronavirus variant, making palm a more attractive option for biodiesel feedstock.Dalian’s most-active soyoil contract gained 0.3%, while its palm oil contract rose 0.6%. Soyoil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade were up 2.5%.Palm oil is affected by price movements in related oils as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oils market.  

Rupee gains, gains 11 paise to open at 74.10Like the equity market, the rupee has also started on a strong note. Rupee today opened with a gain of 11 paise against the dollar. Rupee opened today at 74.10 level against dollar. On the other hand, the rupee had strengthened by 18 paise today and closed at 74.21 against the dollar in Monday's trade.Sensex opened fast, increased by 197 pointsToday the stock market opened with a boom. Today the BSE Sensex rose by about 197.30 points to open at the level of 55753.09 points. On the other hand, the Nifty of NSE opened with a gain of 74.50 points at the level of 16571.00 points. Today, trading started in a total of 1,391 companies in the BSE, out of which about 662 shares opened with a rise and 629 with a fall. At the same time, the share price of 100 companies opened without increasing or decreasing.

India's Nahar Group to consider swap ratio for acquiring Cotton CountyIndia-based Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is considering the swap ratio in view of SEBI directions through stock exchanges to merge Cotton County Retail Limited with Nahar Industrial Enterprises Limited, as per a filing with the Stock Exchanges. The company has scheduled a meeting of board of directors of the company on Friday, August 27.The filing also said that trading window for dealing in the securities of the company shall remain closed for the promoters, directors, key managerial personnel, designated employees, connected persons and their immediate relatives from August 20 to August 27, 2021.Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is a vertically integrated textile manufacturer, with operations ranging from spinning, weaving and processing, while Cotton County Retail Limited is a subsidiary of Nahar Group of companies offering a wide range of products across summer wear (formal, casual shirts, t-shirts, cotton trousers and denims) and winter-wear (sweaters, jackets, coats, suits, sweat-shirt).

Modi government made cooking oil cheaper by cutting import dutyGiving some relief to the common people from inflation, the government has decided to reduce the import duty on soya oil and sunflower oil from 15% to 7.5%. Earlier, the government had also cut import duty on crude palm oil.Overall, the effective duty has been reduced by 8.25% inclusive of all taxes. The overall fee has come down from 38.50 per cent to 30.25 per cent. Agricultural Cess and Social Welfare Cess are also included in the total fee.The reduction in import duty will directly benefit the kitchen budget of the common people, although this reduction in import duty is only till 30 September. At present, the government imports 15 million tonnes of edible oil annually, valued at around Rs 70,000 crore. While the country's annual consumption is 25 million tonnes of edible oil. Palm oil in India is imported from both Malaysia and Indonesia. India imported 7.2 million tonnes of palm oil from Malaysia and Indonesia last year. Palm oil accounts for about 55 per cent of the total imports. 34 lakh tonnes of soybean oil was imported from Brazil and Argentina and 2.5 million tonnes of sunflower oil was imported from Russia and Ukraine.Earlier, the Modi government had approved the plan of Palm Oil Mission in the cabinet meeting held on Wednesday. To increase the availability of edible oils, the government announced a Palm Oil Mission (National Edible Oil Mission-Oil Palm- NMEO-OP) worth Rs 11,040 crore. The government has taken this step to make India self-reliant in the matter of edible oils. This mission of the government will reduce the dependence on import of palm oil and will also pave the way for increasing the income of the farmers. At the same time, the oil industry will also benefit.It was also decided in the cabinet meeting that if the market fluctuates and the price of the farmer's crop falls, then the difference amount will be paid by the central government to the farmers through DBT. The amount which was given earlier in agricultural material has also been increased. In order to enable people to set up industries in the North-East region, it was decided to provide an assistance of Rs.5 crore to the industry.

BANGLADESH SPINNERS UNWILLING TO REDUCE YARN PRICESBangladesh spinners are not willing to yield to demands of apparel and terry towel exporters, and reduce yarn prices. As per a Daily Star report, spinners may have another round of meeting with exporters to find an amicable solution to this problem. Mohammad Ali Khokon, President, Bangladesh Textile Mills Association (BTMA) informs, spinners have honored a previous commitment made during a meeting with garment exporters last week to maintain the current yarn prices. Currently, most highly in demand was being sold for about $4.25 per kg in local markets, he adds.Shahadat Hossain Sohel, Chairman, Bangladesh Terry Towel & Linen Manufacturers & Exporters Association, has urged spinners to ensure adequate supply of yarn at competitive prices as they have a lot of work orders from international buyers. Mohammad Hatem, First Vice-President, Bangladesh Knitwear Manufacturers and Exporters Association, hoped that the impasse may soon come to an end through consultation among the leaders of relevant trade bodies.