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Cotton arrivals in India stood at 12.38 million bales in October-December 2024

Between October and December 2024, 12.38 million bales of cotton were imported into India.India has received 123.80 lakh (or 12.38 million) bales of 170 kg cotton during the first three months of the current season 2024-25 (October-September). The country's apex industry body, the Cotton Association of India (CAI), has estimated cotton arrivals. The organisation has projected a total production of 302 lakh bales for the current season.According to CAI estimates, India recorded 69.22 lakh bales of cotton during the first two months of the current season, October and November. About 52.52 lakh bales of cotton arrived in the mandis during December 2024.State-wise arrival data showed that North India, which includes Punjab, Haryana, Upper Rajasthan and Lower Rajasthan, received 9 lakh bales in October and November and 5.03 lakh bales in December, taking the total for the current season to 14.16 lakh bales.Gujarat and Maharashtra recorded 21.63 lakh bales and 22.93 lakh bales, respectively, this season. Similarly, Madhya Pradesh received 9.52 lakh bales, Telangana 31.95 lakh bales, Andhra Pradesh 6.73 lakh bales, Karnataka 15.18 lakh bales, Tamil Nadu 53,400 bales, Odisha 82,500 bales and others received 30,000 bales of cotton.CAI has estimated cotton production at 302.25 lakh bales. The production is expected to decline by about 7 per cent as against 325.22 lakh bales in the last season. The Government of India has estimated the production of 299.26 lakh bales in the current season.read more :- Rupee falls 11 paise to 85.75 against US dollar during early trade

Cotton up on rising demand from apparel industries and robust export orders

Cotton up on strong export orders and growing demand from the clothing sectorsCotton candy prices rose 0.04% to close at ₹54,160, enabled by rising cotton yarn demand from apparel industries and robust export orders. However, domestic cotton arrivals in the north Indian states of Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan have declined by 43% year-on-year till November 30, 2024, impacting the supply chain. Farmers are reportedly holding back kapas (un-ginned cotton) in anticipation of better prices, leading to a shortage of raw material for ginners and spinners.India's cotton production for the 2024-25 season is estimated at 302.25 lakh bales of 170 kg each, while imports are expected to rise to 25 lakh bales, a significant increase from the previous season. As of November 30, 9 lakh bales had already arrived at Indian ports. The ending stocks for September 2025 are estimated at 26.44 lakh bales, down from 30.19 lakh bales last year. Globally, cotton production for 2024/25 is estimated at 117.4 million bales, led by higher production in India, Argentina and Brazil. Consumption is estimated to increase by 570,000 bales, with rising demand in India, Pakistan and Vietnam offsetting the decline in China. World ending stocks have increased by 267,000 bales, while opening stocks have decreased by 428,000 bales.Technically, short covering was witnessed in the cotton candy market, with open interest falling 0.27% to 367 contracts. Prices found support at ₹53,260, with a possible decline to ₹52,350. Resistance is likely at Rs 55,540, and a breakout above this level could test Rs 56,910, supported by improving demand and mixed supply dynamicsread more :- Rupee falls 9 paise to 85.61 against US dollar in early trade

By the end of March 2025, Iran expects to produce 65,000 tons of cotton.

Iran forecasts 65,000 tons of cotton production by end of March 2025The director of cotton planning at the Ministry of Agriculture announced that cotton harvesting in Iran began in September, and 65,000 tons are projected to be produced by the end of the current Iranian calendar year, which ends on March 20, 2025. Ebrahim Hejjarribi shared these projections in an exclusive interview with IRIB, highlighting ongoing efforts to meet the country's cotton demands.Hejjarribi explained that domestic cotton producers supply about half of the cotton needed by the textile industry, while the rest is imported. The demand for cotton in the domestic market is between 150,000 and 180,000 tons annually. However, by the end of the current year, it is estimated that domestic production will meet about 40 percent of this demand.This production is part of the government's broader efforts to reduce dependence on imports and support local cotton farmers. Despite the increase in domestic cotton production, a significant gap persists between total demand and locally sourced supply. The industry is still highly dependent on imported cotton to meet the entire requirements of the textile sector.The goal of achieving a greater share of domestic production is key to the country's economic strategy, as it seeks to strengthen the agricultural sector and reduce dependence on foreign cotton sources. The ongoing efforts reflect a comprehensive initiative to boost agricultural production and address local supply shortages in various industries.Read more :-  The rupee declined by 2 paise to close at 85.54 against the dollar this evening

Cotton prices fall as global cotton production forecast to rise by over 1.2 million bales

As global cotton production is expected to increase by more than 1.2 million bales, cotton prices decline.Cotton futures closed -0.53% lower at ₹54,140 on the back of higher global production estimates and tight domestic supplies. Global cotton production for the 2024-25 cotton year is forecast to rise by over 1.2 million bales to reach 117.4 million bales, mainly due to higher production in India and Argentina. In India, key northern states—Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan—have seen a sharp decline of 43% in kapas (unginned cotton) arrivals till November 30 compared to last year. This decline has led to supply chain disruptions, with farmers holding back produce in anticipation of better prices, while ginners and spinners are facing raw material shortages, especially in Punjab.The Cotton Association of India (CAI) has maintained its cotton consumption forecast for the 2024-25 season at 313 lakh bales at 170 kg per bale, while cotton pressing is estimated at 302.25 lakh bales. Cotton imports are also expected to rise significantly to 25 lakh bales in the current crop year, up from 15.20 lakh bales in the previous year. Moreover, U.S. cotton production has been revised upwards to about 14.3 million bales, while global output has risen by 1.2 million bales to 117.4 million, mainly due to a 1-million-bale increase in India's crop.Technically, fresh selling is underway in the market, with open interest rising 0.27% to 368. Prices have fallen by ₹290, support is at ₹53,890 and if broken, a possible test of ₹53,630 is possible. Resistance is seen at ₹54,520, and in case of a bullish trend, the possible upside target is ₹54,890.Read more:- Cotton prices hit 3-year low, ginning mills suffer

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