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*All India Weather Forecast for December 20, 2021*

*All India Weather Forecast for December 20, 2021**Weather systems made across the country*An area of low pressure and associated cyclonic circulation up to 5.8 km above mean sea level persists over southeast Bay of Bengal and equatorial Indian Ocean. It is expected to move east-northeastwards and turn into a deep depression during next 24 hours.As a cyclonic circulation, a Western Disturbance is over Uttarakhand and it is moving eastwards.A fresh Western Disturbance is likely to affect Western Himalayas from 22nd December.*Weather movement across the country during the last 24 hours*During the last 24 hours, cold wave conditions to severe cold wave conditions persisted at isolated parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh and isolated parts of Gujarat, Telangana and Chhattisgarh.Cold day conditions also prevailed in parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and Delhi NCR.Moderate to dense fog covered parts of Punjab, Bihar and Tripura.Temperatures were recorded below zero in many parts of Rajasthan.*Weather activity likely during next 24 hours*During the next 24 hours, the weather is likely to remain dry across the country. However, isolated light rain activities are likely over Andaman and Nicobar Islands.Cold and dry winds mainly from North West direction are continuing over many parts of North West and Central India.Cold wave conditions to severe cold wave conditions are very likely to continue over parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh and isolated parts of Gujarat, Telangana and Chhattisgarh.Cold day conditions are possible over parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and Delhi NCR.Day and night temperatures may also drop by 2-3 degrees over East India.

In 2022, cotton prices may decline but palm oil will scale new highs

In 2022, cotton prices may decline but palm oil will scale new highsCotton prices may continue to rally in the coming quarters and are likely to cool-off in the second half of 2022, while palm oil prices are expected to hit new highs on robust demand and tight supplies in the new year, commodity analyst T Gnanasekar, Director, Commtrendz Research, said on Thursday.Addressing a webinar on Commodities Market Outlook 2022, organised by Business Line, Gnanasekar said cotton, after making decade highs, has been caught in the range at this point in time. On the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the benchmark for cotton prices globally, cotton tested $1.20 per pound recently and is now consolidating, taking a breather at this point in time.“With the sort of economic recovery we are seeing and the post Covid demand with online business picking up for garments, there is a tremendous scope for prices to rise. In fact, crude oil prices are also impacting prices in a big way because polyester prices are determined by how crude oil prices move. So, if crude oil continues to rise, there is a good chance for the market to move to natural fibres and that will drive cotton prices even higher,” he said.Presenting the technical view, Gnanasekar said there’s more upside in the coming quarters and this $1 per pound will be “very stable”. “We would see much higher prices going forward. Prices are somewhere around $1.10 right now and there’s some way to go. Technically the target is $1.4 per pound for 2022 for cotton is concerned,” he said.Citing the CFTC’s recent Commitments of Traders (COT) Report, Gnanasekar said the market is expecting prices to come down in March 2022. Textile mills have taken a view that by March prices will start coming down because of arrivals and various other factors, he said.In the domestic market, cotton prices made a new high in India at ₹34,000 per bale (170 kg) recently and corrected to ₹30,000 levels. “I think they are now headed closer to ₹34,000-35,000 levels or even beyond that. Eventually in the second half of 2022, prices will come down to below ₹30,000 somewhere around ₹28,000 and settle down. Farmers will have more incentive to produce more cotton going forward,” Gnanasekar said.Recalling the all-time high price of $2 per pound witnessed during March 2011, Gnanasekar said such exaggerated moves had resulted in sharp retracement and that’s what the industry has to watch out for. “It is better to plan hedging strategies as prices rise because all the mills and buyers will be left with high priced inventories. Hedging strategies are going to be the key thing to manage well the cash flow and profitability,” he said.

Cotton rises over 1pc as dollar retreats

ICE COTTON SUMMARYCotton rises over 1pc as dollar retreatsICE cotton futures rose more than 1% on Thursday, helped by a retreat in the dollar and healthy US exports overall."“The best thing happening for cotton right now is the dollar edging down,” said Rogers Varner, president of Varner Brokerage in Cleveland, Mississippi.“Cotton was also helped as sales were good, while shipments also picked up a little.”The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) weekly export sales report showed net sales of 286,400 running bales, down 25% from the previous week but about 5% higher compared with the prior 4-week average. Increases were primarily for China.Also supporting the market were oil prices that firmed due to record US implied demand and falling crude stockpiles. Higher oil prices make polyester, a substitute for cotton, more expensive.World cotton production for the 2021/22 season is poised for a full comeback from a disappointing 2020/21 season, led by the United States, the International Cotton Advisory Committee said in its annual report.It forecast 2021/22 output at 25.71 million tonnes, a 6.01% increase from 2020/21. Also potentially on the radar, the US Commerce Department placed export restrictions on several Chinese companies for several national security reasons.“The news hasn’t impacted the market yet and it is not clear how it will impact cotton, but it definitely is a concern,” added Varner.China is a major consumer of US cotton.Total futures market volume fell by 3,894 to 11,758 lots. Data showed total open interest fell 596 to 232,578 contracts in the previous session"

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